Arahal vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arahal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
OSU
1 - 2
ARH
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ARH
1 - 1
ADS
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BET
5 - 0
ARH
87%
8%
5%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VEN
0 - 0
ARH
69%
18%
13%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ARH
0 - 4
UDR
30%
24%
46%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 1
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ALC
2 - 2
OSU
34%
24%
42%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ADS
1 - 0
ALC
45%
25%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
BET
4 - 0
ALC
83%
11%
7%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
VEN
30%
25%
46%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |