Aragvi Dusheti vs Spaeri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
1º
8º
7º
51
4º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragvi Dusheti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SIO
3 - 0
ADU
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 3
GAR
26%
24%
51%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
ADU
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 1
LOK
44%
24%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 3
ADU
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Spaeri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SPA
1 - 3
GAR
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LOK
1 - 1
SPA
35%
24%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
KOL
0 - 2
SPA
12%
20%
67%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
SPA
3 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SIO
0 - 2
SPA
44%
24%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |