Araguaína vs Gurupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Araguaína
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
INT
29%
26%
45%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 2
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 2
TOC
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAP
66%
19%
15%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
PAL
36%
25%
38%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Gurupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2016 |
GUR
3 - 1
PAL
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
TOC
2 - 1
GUR
51%
25%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
GUR
1 - 0
CAP
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
GUR
2 - 1
TOC
53%
23%
25%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 2
GUR
44%
25%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |