Aragua U20 vs Deportivo Lara U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+75%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARA
31%
25%
43%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
9 - 1
TUC
58%
22%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
ARA
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
48%
24%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DLA
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
DLA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
DLA
8 - 3
TUC
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
DLA
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
50%
23%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |