Primera División Venezolana . Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Aragua FC vs Zulia FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 1
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 1
ARA
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 2
MIN
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Zulia FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ZUL
20%
29%
52%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 1
ARA
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
ZUL
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 1
POR
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |