Aragua FC vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
13.5%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
ARA
41%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 0
MIR
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
ARA
0 - 0
ANZ
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MON
1 - 0
ARA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
LAR
2 - 1
CDS
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 1
LAR
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LAR
0 - 3
ZAM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
EST
2 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
POR
1 - 0
LAR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |