Aragua FC vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ARA
25%
29%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
ARA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
ARA
3 - 0
TUC
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ARA
35%
27%
37%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CFC
27%
27%
47%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
DEP
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2015 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
EST
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |