Asian Games Quarter-finals

Arabia Saudí U23 vs Iraq U23 analysis

Arabia Saudí U23 Iraq U23
58 ELO 65
-0.8% Tilt -1.3%
31493º General ELO ranking 37348º
81º Country ELO ranking 76º
ELO win probability
37.5%
Arabia Saudí U23
23.7%
Draw
38.8%
Iraq U23

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
Saudi Arabia U23
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
38.8%
Win probability
Iraq U23
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arabia Saudí U23
+13%
-25%
Iraq U23

ELO progression

Saudi Arabia U23
Iraq U23
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Saudi Arabia U23
Saudi Arabia U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2014
UZB
Uzbekistan U23
2 - 3
Saudi Arabia U23
KSA
37%
25%
39%
59 54 5 0
21 Sep. 2014
MAS
Malaysia U23
0 - 3
Saudi Arabia U23
KSA
22%
22%
56%
58 44 14 +1
17 Sep. 2014
KOR
South Korea U23
1 - 0
Saudi Arabia U23
KSA
62%
20%
18%
59 66 7 -1
14 Sep. 2014
KSA
Saudi Arabia U23
3 - 0
Laos U23
LAO
81%
14%
6%
59 28 31 0
05 Feb. 2012
KSA
Saudi Arabia U23
1 - 1
South Korea U23
KOR
34%
24%
42%
58 66 8 +1

Matches

Iraq U23
Iraq U23
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Sep. 2014
IRQ
Iraq U23
4 - 2
Tajikistan U23
TJK
80%
14%
6%
63 30 33 0
21 Sep. 2014
KWT
Kuwait U23
0 - 3
Iraq U23
IRQ
22%
23%
55%
63 49 14 0
17 Sep. 2014
JPN
Japan U23
1 - 3
Iraq U23
IRQ
58%
21%
21%
61 66 5 +2
14 Sep. 2014
IRQ
Iraq U23
4 - 0
Nepal U23
NEP
80%
14%
6%
61 28 33 0
23 Jun. 2011
IRN
Iran U23
0 - 2
Iraq U23
IRQ
41%
24%
35%
60 58 2 +1