Apurtuarte vs Arratia CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apurtuarte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 1
APU
45%
26%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
APU
0 - 0
LFT
40%
24%
36%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SOD
1 - 1
APU
64%
21%
15%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
APU
1 - 2
GAT
57%
23%
20%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
APU
31%
28%
42%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arratia CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
0 - 0
RET
47%
25%
28%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2015 |
CDL
2 - 1
ACD
50%
23%
27%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 0
CDE
59%
22%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SDE
1 - 0
ACD
30%
24%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 0
CDS
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |