Aprilia vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
38.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
APR
57%
23%
20%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
APR
1 - 0
EBO
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +3 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
3 - 2
APR
66%
20%
14%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
1 - 1
APR
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
APR
0 - 1
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
0 - 0
RAA
56%
25%
20%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
1 - 0
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ARZ
1 - 4
VIG
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
VIG
2 - 2
GAV
40%
26%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
NEA
0 - 0
VIG
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |