Aprilia vs Albalonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
LAD
2 - 1
APR
18%
21%
62%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
APR
1 - 1
LAT
35%
26%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAS
0 - 2
APR
22%
25%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
APR
1 - 0
LRO
72%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
BUD
1 - 2
APR
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Albalonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
ALB
1 - 1
CAS
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MON
0 - 0
ALB
39%
25%
36%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 3
ULD
53%
25%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
ALB
2 - 2
MES
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FLA
1 - 1
ALB
21%
24%
56%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |