Rwanda League Round 5

APR FC vs Mukura Victory analysis

APR FC Mukura Victory
44 ELO 41
6.8% Tilt -8.7%
7253º General ELO ranking 7844º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.1%
APR FC
22%
Draw
18.9%
Mukura Victory

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
APR FC
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.9%
Win probability
Mukura Victory
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
APR FC
+94%
-32%
Mukura Victory

ELO progression

APR FC
Mukura Victory
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

APR FC
APR FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Oct. 2012
MUS
Musanze FC
0 - 0
APR FC
APR
45%
26%
29%
42 42 0 0
29 Sep. 2012
APR
APR FC
1 - 1
Police FC
POL
59%
22%
19%
42 42 0 0
25 Sep. 2012
MUH
AS Muhanga FC
0 - 2
APR FC
APR
50%
24%
25%
42 42 0 0
22 Sep. 2012
APR
APR FC
2 - 1
Marines FC
MAR
56%
22%
22%
42 42 0 0
12 May. 2012
APR
APR FC
4 - 2
Nyanza
NFC
56%
22%
22%
42 42 0 0

Matches

Mukura Victory
Mukura Victory
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2012
POL
Police FC
1 - 0
Mukura Victory
MUK
55%
23%
22%
42 42 0 0
30 Sep. 2012
MUK
Mukura Victory
1 - 0
Marines FC
MAR
45%
25%
29%
42 42 0 0
26 Sep. 2012
LAJ
La Jeunesse
1 - 1
Mukura Victory
MUK
51%
25%
25%
42 42 0 0
23 Sep. 2012
MUK
Mukura Victory
1 - 2
AS Kigali
ASK
47%
26%
27%
42 42 0 0
15 May. 2012
POL
Police FC
0 - 1
Mukura Victory
MUK
56%
23%
21%
42 42 0 0