APR FC vs Bugesera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APR FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
ETI
0 - 0
APR
33%
27%
41%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
APR
0 - 1
MUK
63%
22%
16%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
GFC
0 - 2
APR
50%
24%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
APR
2 - 1
RAY
53%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
APR
2 - 0
MUS
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bugesera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 6
BUG
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
BUG
0 - 0
RFC
40%
23%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
MUK
1 - 1
BUG
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
BUG
1 - 2
GFC
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 1
BUG
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |