Apolonia Fier vs Lushnja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apolonia Fier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2020 |
APO
1 - 2
KUK
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ORI
0 - 0
APO
28%
29%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
APO
1 - 1
DEV
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BES
2 - 3
APO
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
LUF
0 - 0
APO
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lushnja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
LUS
3 - 2
ILI
73%
18%
10%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
TUR
0 - 0
LUS
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POG
2 - 1
LUS
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
KUK
3 - 0
LUS
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
LUS
3 - 0
ELB
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |