Apollon Smyrnis vs Ermionidas-Ermis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
APS
1 - 0
EPI
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
APS
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
PAN
1 - 0
APS
19%
27%
54%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 0
APS
19%
26%
56%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
APS
1 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ermionidas-Ermis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ERM
1 - 0
PAN
65%
21%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2015 |
ERM
2 - 0
ERG
9%
19%
72%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 2
ERM
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ERM
1 - 1
KAL
71%
19%
11%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
PAN
0 - 3
ERM
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |