UCL Qualifying Play Offs Final
Global 3-2
APOEL vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
WIS
1 - 0
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
APO
1 - 0
OMO
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
SBR
0 - 2
APO
48%
25%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
APO
0 - 0
SBR
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2011 |
APO
4 - 0
KFS
68%
20%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
KOR
0 - 0
WIS
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
WIS
1 - 0
APO
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
WIS
1 - 0
ZAL
56%
23%
20%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
1 - 1
WIS
39%
27%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
WIS
3 - 1
LOV
50%
24%
25%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |