APOEL vs Digenis Morphou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
DOX
2 - 3
APO
4%
14%
82%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
APO
3 - 0
ONI
90%
8%
2%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
AEL
1 - 1
APO
36%
24%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
APO
1 - 0
APO
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
AEK
2 - 2
APO
25%
23%
52%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
DIG
4 - 1
ONI
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
APO
2 - 0
DIG
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
DIG
0 - 3
ANO
8%
18%
74%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
ETH
1 - 2
DIG
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
DIG
4 - 0
ANA
58%
23%
20%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |