Qualif. Champions Tercera ronda Final
Global 2-4
APOEL vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
26.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
APO
4 - 2
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
MAR
2 - 1
APO
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
APO
1 - 0
FLO
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
FLO
0 - 0
APO
36%
25%
40%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AEL
1 - 1
APO
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2002 |
AEK
6 - 2
PAO
52%
22%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2002 |
AEK
2 - 1
OLP
47%
22%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2002 |
OLP
4 - 3
AEK
57%
21%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
AEK
3 - 0
IRA
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2002 |
AEK
1 - 0
XAN
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |