APEP vs Ormideia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
DYP
0 - 2
APE
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
APE
3 - 3
AHI
26%
27%
47%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
4 - 1
APE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
APE
2 - 3
HAL
24%
26%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
AKR
7 - 1
APE
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ormideia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ORM
1 - 1
MEA
30%
27%
42%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IRA
0 - 1
ORM
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ORM
5 - 2
AMA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ETH
1 - 0
ORM
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ORM
2 - 3
ETH
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |