APEP vs ASIL Lysi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
33.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
OMO
1 - 2
APE
54%
24%
23%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
APE
2 - 1
DIG
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
APE
4 - 0
ANA
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
OMO
0 - 1
APE
61%
21%
17%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
APE
1 - 2
ALK
31%
25%
44%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ASIL Lysi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
ASI
0 - 1
PAF
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ASI
0 - 1
ONI
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ASI
1 - 1
OMO
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ALK
1 - 0
ASI
55%
22%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
ASI
3 - 1
APO
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |