APEP vs Alki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
24.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APEP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
APE
2 - 0
ENO
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
APO
4 - 0
APE
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
APE
2 - 1
ATR
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
APO
1 - 1
APE
73%
17%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
APE
2 - 1
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 1
PAF
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 2
AEL
35%
26%
39%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ETH
2 - 1
ALK
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ALK
1 - 2
DOX
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
APE
2 - 1
ALK
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |