Apeldoorn CSV vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
50.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
APE
3 - 1
SVZ
32%
24%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
DRA
1 - 1
APE
17%
21%
63%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
APE
1 - 1
HZV
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
URK
3 - 1
APE
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
APE
0 - 0
STA
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
STA
3 - 1
EXC
36%
24%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EXC
3 - 3
URK
77%
14%
9%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
EXC
1 - 2
AZS
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 0
EXC
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ACV
3 - 2
EXC
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |