Apeldoorn CSV vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
WHC
3 - 6
APE
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
APE
1 - 0
DRA
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
SVZ
3 - 3
APE
66%
19%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AZS
0 - 2
APE
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
APE
1 - 2
VVO
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 0
FLE
45%
23%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
VVO
0 - 2
EXC
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ACV
4 - 1
EXC
39%
24%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
EXC
4 - 0
WHC
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
STA
1 - 3
EXC
48%
23%
30%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |