Apeldoorn CSV vs Excelsior .31 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Apeldoorn CSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
GEN
2 - 2
APE
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
APE
0 - 3
HHC
43%
25%
32%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
BER
2 - 2
APE
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
APE
2 - 0
FLE
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NUN
1 - 2
APE
42%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Excelsior .31
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
HHC
1 - 1
EXC
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
EXC
4 - 0
BER
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
WHC
4 - 3
EXC
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
EXC
2 - 0
NUN
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
BEQ
0 - 3
EXC
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |