Aparecidense vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ANA
4 - 0
APA
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
APA
67%
22%
11%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
APA
1 - 1
GOI
18%
24%
59%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
APA
2 - 1
ATL
10%
20%
70%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
GOI
6%
16%
78%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
JAT
2 - 2
MOR
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
IPO
1 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
28%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
GOI
35%
26%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
GOI
45%
24%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |