Aparecida GO vs Jaraguá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
48.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aparecida GO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
AME
0 - 0
APA
61%
20%
20%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
APA
4 - 1
MOR
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +6 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ANA
3 - 3
APA
72%
18%
10%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
APA
2 - 0
JAT
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | +5 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 2
APA
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
JAR
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
JAR
5 - 0
JAT
38%
22%
40%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TRI
2 - 1
JAR
46%
22%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
MOR
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 0
JAR
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | 0 |