APAFUT vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
66.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
APAFUT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAC
1 - 3
APA
13%
18%
70%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 1
APA
85%
12%
3%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
APA
0 - 4
YPI
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 55 | 37 | -1 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
CAX
5 - 0
JUV
14%
21%
64%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
YPI
4 - 1
CAX
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CAX
2 - 0
PRS
79%
13%
8%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
INT
0 - 0
CAX
58%
24%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 2
INT
41%
26%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |