Aoiz vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AOI
2 - 1
IZA
9%
20%
71%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
AOI
84%
12%
4%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
AOI
0 - 3
CHA
24%
26%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
AOI
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
AOI
0 - 0
SJU
22%
27%
51%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
0 - 4
TUD
21%
25%
55%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
COR
1 - 2
MUR
27%
24%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 0
OBE
53%
24%
23%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
UDM
1 - 0
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MUR
2 - 2
IZA
12%
22%
67%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |