National Third Division Round 18

Karavas vs Asteras Kesarianis analysis

Karavas Asteras Kesarianis
30 ELO 38
-6% Tilt -9.7%
8665º General ELO ranking 6596º
92º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
31.2%
Karavas
22.4%
Draw
46.3%
Asteras Kesarianis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
Karavas
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
46.3%
Win probability
Asteras Kesarianis
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Karavas
+29%
+138%
Asteras Kesarianis

Points and table prediction

Karavas
Their league position
Asteras Kesarianis
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
16º
13º
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marko
74
74
100%
Ethnikos Piraeus
70
73
100%
Nea Ionia
64
67
100%
Chaidari
51
54
100%
Aris Petroupolis
52
52
100%
Atsalenios
48
48
100%
Ilysiakos AO
47
47
100%
Asteras Kesarianis
10º
44
47
100%
Giouchtas
47
47
100%
Kyanos Asteras Vari
45
45
10º
100%
Thyella D Rafina
11º
41
44
11º
0%
Agios Nikolaos
12º
41
44
12º
0%
Karavas
15º
24
27
13º
100%
Mandraikos
13º
26
26
14º
100%
AO Thiva
14º
26
26
15º
100%
Tympaki
16º
20
21
16º
100%
Rethymniakos
17º
15
16
17º
100%
Expected probabilities
Karavas
Asteras Kesarianis
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Karavas
Asteras Kesarianis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Karavas
Karavas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2025
ATS
Atsalenios
3 - 0
Karavas
AOK
66%
20%
14%
29 48 19 0
21 Dec. 2024
AOK
Karavas
3 - 2
Rethymniakos
RET
63%
19%
19%
29 23 6 0
15 Dec. 2024
AOT
Tympaki
3 - 1
Karavas
AOK
27%
22%
51%
30 21 9 -1
11 Dec. 2024
AOK
Karavas
0 - 1
Giouchtas
GIO
29%
26%
45%
31 48 17 -1
07 Dec. 2024
AOK
Karavas
2 - 1
Mandraikos
MAN
35%
22%
44%
30 36 6 +1

Matches

Asteras Kesarianis
Asteras Kesarianis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2025
AAK
Asteras Kesarianis
3 - 0
Mandraikos
MAN
47%
22%
31%
37 37 0 0
21 Dec. 2024
RAF
Thyella D Rafina
0 - 0
Asteras Kesarianis
AAK
53%
24%
23%
37 45 8 0
15 Dec. 2024
AAK
Asteras Kesarianis
2 - 1
Kyanos Asteras Vari
VAR
34%
27%
40%
34 47 13 +3
11 Dec. 2024
AAK
Asteras Kesarianis
1 - 0
Agios Nikolaos
ANK
25%
24%
51%
30 46 16 +4
07 Dec. 2024
LON
Nea Ionia
0 - 1
Asteras Kesarianis
AAK
67%
19%
14%
29 46 17 +1