Antofagasta vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
59.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 1
IQU
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
OHI
1 - 0
ANT
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 1
NTA
54%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
EVE
2 - 1
ANT
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ANT
2 - 0
SAN
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 1
ACS
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ULC
1 - 1
UCO
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
38%
26%
35%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 3
UCO
47%
24%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
51%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |