S.D. Antas vs Lourenzá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.7%
26.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
S.D. Antas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
OUT
5 - 1
ANT
58%
21%
20%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 3
POL
20%
21%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ANT
5 - 1
SDO
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
AES
3 - 1
ANT
88%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ANT
2 - 1
PAS
34%
23%
43%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lourenzá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
LOU
1 - 3
SDC
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
LOU
82%
12%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
TAB
2 - 1
LOU
43%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 3
BUR
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BEC
2 - 1
LOU
36%
22%
42%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |