Anse Reunion vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
5º
7º
7º
2
7º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 28 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 26 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anse Reunion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
MIC
3 - 0
ARE
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
ARE
1 - 3
COT
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
PAS
2 - 1
ARE
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LSU
2 - 1
ARE
45%
24%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
BBR
1 - 4
ARE
26%
22%
53%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2023 |
RST
2 - 3
LSU
27%
21%
52%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BBR
4 - 2
RST
44%
22%
35%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
RST
1 - 3
FOR
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
RST
0 - 3
PAS
38%
21%
40%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
MIC
3 - 0
RST
70%
16%
14%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |