Annagh United vs Ballyclare Comrades analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
18.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
4º
3º
47
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Annagh United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ARD
2 - 0
AUN
24%
23%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
INS
2 - 0
AUN
18%
22%
60%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
0 - 1
WAR
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
HAR
0 - 0
AUN
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
AUN
2 - 1
DER
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ballyclare Comrades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 2
LOU
25%
25%
51%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
BAL
20%
22%
58%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
6 - 2
INS
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 2
ARD
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |