League One Round 18

Jiangxi Dingnan United vs Yunnan Yukun analysis

Jiangxi Dingnan United Yunnan Yukun
53 ELO 62
1.5% Tilt -0.2%
4217º General ELO ranking 1757º
27º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
34.4%
Jiangxi Dingnan United
27%
Draw
38.6%
Yunnan Yukun

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.6%
Win probability
Yunnan Yukun
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jiangxi Dingnan United
+15%
+6%
Yunnan Yukun

Points and table prediction

Jiangxi Dingnan United
Their league position
Yunnan Yukun
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
13º
66
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Yunnan Yukun
66
66
100%
Dalian Yingbo
57
57
100%
Guangzhou FC
52
52
100%
Chongqing Tonglianglong
50
50
100%
Liaoning Tieren
50
50
100%
Suzhou Dongwu
48
48
100%
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
48
48
100%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
47
47
100%
Nanjing City
34
34
100%
Foshan Nanshi
10º
32
32
10º
100%
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Yanbian Longding
12º
31
31
12º
100%
Jiangxi Dingnan United
13º
27
27
13º
100%
Qingdao Red Lions
14º
26
26
14º
100%
Wuxi Wugo
15º
22
22
15º
100%
Jiangxi Lushan
16º
19
19
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Jiangxi Dingnan United
Yunnan Yukun
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Jiangxi Dingnan United
Yunnan Yukun
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jiangxi Dingnan United
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2024
ANH
Jiangxi Dingnan United
0 - 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong
CHO
42%
25%
34%
53 56 3 0
06 Jul. 2024
ANH
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1 - 3
Guangzhou FC
GUA
41%
25%
34%
54 55 1 -1
30 Jun. 2024
QFC
Qingdao Red Lions
0 - 1
Jiangxi Dingnan United
ANH
37%
27%
36%
53 52 1 +1
15 Jun. 2024
ANH
Jiangxi Dingnan United
1 - 2
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
GFC
28%
27%
46%
53 63 10 0
08 Jun. 2024
ANH
Jiangxi Dingnan United
2 - 4
Suzhou Dongwu
SDO
51%
25%
25%
54 53 1 -1

Matches

Yunnan Yukun
Yunnan Yukun
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2024
NAN
Nanjing City
0 - 2
Yunnan Yukun
YUN
41%
27%
31%
61 61 0 0
06 Jul. 2024
YUN
Yunnan Yukun
2 - 0
Foshan Nanshi
DUF
54%
25%
21%
60 54 6 +1
30 Jun. 2024
YUN
Yunnan Yukun
5 - 0
Liaoning Tieren
SHE
57%
23%
20%
59 52 7 +1
21 Jun. 2024
YUN
Yunnan Yukun
1 - 1
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
TIT
17%
19%
64%
59 71 12 0
15 Jun. 2024
DAL
Dalian Yingbo
0 - 3
Yunnan Yukun
YUN
28%
26%
46%
58 49 9 +1