Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Anguiano vs Castillo CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anguiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 0
ANG
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
AGO
1 - 1
ANG
13%
20%
67%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ANG
4 - 3
YAG
87%
9%
4%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ALB
1 - 2
ANG
8%
17%
76%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ANG
3 - 1
OYO
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castillo CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
CAS
1 - 0
ANG
45%
25%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 0
COM
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
UDT
0 - 0
CAS
20%
26%
53%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
CAS
2 - 2
CDT
42%
28%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
LLA
1 - 2
CAS
34%
26%
40%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |