MLS Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
LA Galaxy vs San Jose Earthquakes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
LA Galaxy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 0
SES
45%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
MET
2 - 3
GAL
31%
25%
45%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
SJE
2 - 2
GAL
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
GAL
1 - 2
RSL
57%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 1
GAL
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Jose Earthquakes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
SJE
25%
26%
49%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
SJE
2 - 2
GAL
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
COR
1 - 4
SJE
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SJE
3 - 3
DAL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 2
SJE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |