Andranik vs Noah II analysis


11	ELO	18
-0.5%	Tilt	-1.5%
6688º	General ELO ranking	4812º
28º	Country ELO ranking	26º
ELO win probability

10.3%

Andranik

15%

Draw

74.7%

Noah II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

10.3%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%

15%

Draw

0-0

2.8%

1-1

6.8%

2-2

4.1%

3-3

1.1%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

15%

74.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%