PFL Round 9

Andijon vs Neftchi analysis

Andijon Neftchi
66 ELO 67
-3.1% Tilt -0.4%
2105º General ELO ranking 2041º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
46.7%
Andijon
27%
Draw
26.3%
Neftchi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
Andijon
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.3%
Win probability
Neftchi
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Andijon
-18%
+17%
Neftchi

Points and table prediction

Andijon
Their league position
Neftchi
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
13º
36
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Neftchi
36
54
21.5%
FC AGMK
34
54
19.5%
Nasaf Qarshi
37
52
13.5%
Dinamo Samarqand
34
52
10.5%
Pakhtakor
30
51
15%
Navbahor
31
49
15.5%
Bunyodkor
31
49
11%
Andijon
10º
21
39
16%
Surkhon Termez
23
39
22.5%
Sogdiana
11º
20
38
10º
18.5%
Qizilqum
22
37
11º
22%
Xorazm
12º
19
31
12º
13.5%
Mash' al
14º
15
30
13º
19%
Kokand 1912
13º
15
30
14º
21.5%
Buxoro
15º
14
29
15º
21.5%
Shurtan
16º
10
22
16º
69%
Expected probabilities
Andijon
Neftchi
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 21.5%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 17%
Mid-table
98% 61.5%
Relegation play-offs
2% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Andijon
Neftchi
Pakhtakor
Navbahor
Mash' al
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Andijon
Andijon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 May. 2025
OLM
FC AGMK
4 - 3
Andijon
AND
54%
23%
24%
67 67 0 0
29 Apr. 2025
FCL
Lochin
2 - 1
Andijon
AND
6%
15%
79%
66 11 55 +1
26 Apr. 2025
SOG
Sogdiana
1 - 0
Andijon
AND
43%
26%
31%
67 67 0 -1
20 Apr. 2025
AND
Andijon
1 - 2
Dinamo Samarqand
DSA
41%
26%
32%
67 67 0 0
17 Apr. 2025
AND
Andijon
2 - 3
Surkhon Termez
TER
46%
25%
29%
67 66 1 0

Matches

Neftchi
Neftchi
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2025
NEF
Neftchi
2 - 1
Sogdiana
SOG
44%
27%
30%
67 67 0 0
30 Apr. 2025
NEF
Neftchi
3 - 1
FK FarDU
FAR
83%
12%
5%
66 11 55 +1
19 Apr. 2025
NEF
Neftchi
0 - 4
Pakhtakor
PAK
43%
27%
30%
67 67 0 -1
15 Apr. 2025
NAV
Navbahor
1 - 1
Neftchi
NEF
43%
26%
31%
68 67 1 -1
11 Apr. 2025
MAS
Mash' al
1 - 4
Neftchi
NEF
39%
29%
32%
67 64 3 +1