Ancona vs Castel di Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
TOR
1 - 1
ANC
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
ANC
3 - 2
USF
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
CAG
3 - 0
ANC
73%
18%
9%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
ANC
0 - 1
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1998 |
PES
3 - 2
ANC
67%
19%
13%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Castel di Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1998 |
CSA
1 - 1
PAD
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
CSA
0 - 0
TRE
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
VER
0 - 0
CSA
76%
16%
8%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
CSA
3 - 3
GEN
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
USF
2 - 0
CSA
61%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |