Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
ANC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
PAD
2 - 1
ANC
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
EMP
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ABN
1 - 3
ANC
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
ANC
2 - 0
SAL
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
2 - 0
EMP
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
GRO
3 - 1
MOD
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 2
MOD
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MOD
1 - 2
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |