Ancona vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
BAR
2 - 1
ANC
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
ANC
2 - 1
PIS
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2001 |
CAG
2 - 0
ANC
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
ANC
2 - 3
COS
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2001 |
VIC
2 - 1
ANC
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
52%
26%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 2
CTT
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 1
MOD
60%
23%
18%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 1
REG
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
MOD
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |