Ancona vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2002 |
SAL
0 - 2
ANC
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2002 |
BRE
1 - 3
ANC
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
SAM
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
ANC
1 - 1
SIE
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
CAT
0 - 0
ANC
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2002 |
MES
2 - 1
VER
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
MES
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2002 |
MES
3 - 1
VIC
29%
27%
44%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
MES
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
MES
0 - 2
LEC
31%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |