Ancona vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LAQ
1 - 1
ANC
28%
29%
43%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
2 - 0
PIS
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
3 - 2
ACP
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ANC
0 - 2
SIE
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TUT
0 - 1
CAR
30%
28%
43%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
SAV
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAR
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
SIE
18%
24%
58%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ASL
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |