Ancona vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
ANC
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ANC
1 - 1
CSP
79%
14%
6%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 0
ANC
19%
24%
57%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MON
0 - 0
ANC
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ANC
2 - 1
VIN
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 33 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
GUA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ACP
1 - 0
REG
35%
29%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
REG
2 - 0
FOL
70%
19%
12%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SAS
1 - 0
REG
75%
17%
8%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
REG
1 - 1
ASG
61%
23%
16%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |