Ancede vs ASS Nevogilde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
69%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COD
1 - 0
ANC
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
2 - 1
PGA
54%
22%
25%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
ANC
24%
22%
55%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ANC
0 - 2
LOU
14%
19%
68%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
FRE
4 - 0
ANC
71%
17%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
ASS Nevogilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NEV
3 - 2
SVP
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAL
1 - 1
NEV
7%
14%
78%
|
27 | 9 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NEV
3 - 1
FER
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RAI
1 - 1
NEV
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
NEV
2 - 1
AIR
75%
15%
10%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |