Ancede vs Aparecida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
61.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ancede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NEV
5 - 2
ANC
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
3 - 2
COD
63%
20%
18%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
2 - 2
ANC
22%
21%
57%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ANC
2 - 2
CAR
50%
22%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LOU
8 - 0
ANC
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Aparecida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
APA
0 - 0
SVP
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAL
0 - 3
APA
9%
16%
74%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
APA
1 - 2
FER
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RAI
5 - 0
APA
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
APA
1 - 0
AIR
74%
16%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |