National Third Division Round 21

Anagennisi Arta vs Thesprotos analysis

Anagennisi Arta Thesprotos
33 ELO 34
-19.3% Tilt -10.8%
5983º General ELO ranking 5891º
66º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
38.2%
Anagennisi Arta
25.1%
Draw
36.7%
Thesprotos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
Anagennisi Arta
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
36.7%
Win probability
Thesprotos
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Anagennisi Arta
+32%
-6%
Thesprotos

Points and table prediction

Anagennisi Arta
Their league position
Thesprotos
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
14º
10º
46
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
74
78
91.5%
Nea Artaki
72
76
91.5%
Svoronos
69
72
100%
Pierikos
55
58
0%
Zakynthos
55
58
0%
AE Kileler
50
53
23.5%
Eordaikos
47
53
28.5%
Asteras Stavros
52
53
23%
Trikala
12º
46
52
40%
Anagennisi Arta
48
51
10º
36.5%
Thesprotos
11º
46
50
11º
49.5%
Asteras Petriti
10º
47
47
12º
56.5%
Thyella Katsika
13º
45
46
13º
66.5%
AE Lefkimmi
15º
30
34
14º
37%
Kastoria
14º
33
33
15º
37%
Vataniakos
16º
28
31
16º
100%
Fikis
17º
7
10
17º
99%
Magnisiakos
18º
1
2
18º
99%
Expected probabilities
Anagennisi Arta
Thesprotos
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
83.5% 41%
Relegation play-offs
16.5% 49.5%
Relegation
0% 9.5%

ELO progression

Anagennisi Arta
Thesprotos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Anagennisi Arta
Anagennisi Arta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
AEL
AE Lefkimmi
1 - 2
Anagennisi Arta
AGN
42%
25%
34%
31 30 1 0
21 Jan. 2024
AGN
Anagennisi Arta
3 - 0
Fikis
POF
61%
20%
18%
30 22 8 +1
17 Jan. 2024
AGN
Anagennisi Arta
2 - 1
Pierikos
PIE
22%
25%
53%
28 41 13 +2
14 Jan. 2024
ENK
Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou
2 - 0
Anagennisi Arta
AGN
66%
19%
15%
28 40 12 0
20 Dec. 2023
AGN
Anagennisi Arta
1 - 0
Asteras Stavros
ASS
33%
23%
44%
27 32 5 +1

Matches

Thesprotos
Thesprotos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jan. 2024
THE
Thesprotos
2 - 1
AE Kileler
KIL
60%
20%
20%
34 28 6 0
21 Jan. 2024
NEA
Nea Artaki
2 - 1
Thesprotos
THE
46%
23%
31%
35 36 1 -1
14 Jan. 2024
THE
Thesprotos
2 - 0
Asteras Petriti
AST
48%
22%
30%
33 33 0 +2
07 Jan. 2024
THE
Thesprotos
1 - 3
AE Lefkimmi
AEL
69%
18%
13%
34 26 8 -1
20 Dec. 2023
POF
Fikis
0 - 3
Thesprotos
THE
30%
23%
47%
33 25 8 +1