Anadia vs AD Nogueirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Anadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
GOU
2 - 1
ANA
26%
25%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ANA
1 - 1
LUS
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOR
0 - 0
ANA
29%
26%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANA
0 - 1
GAF
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ACA
0 - 4
ANA
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AD Nogueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 0
RDA
43%
23%
35%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TOU
0 - 0
ADN
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ADN
1 - 0
PAM
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ADN
3 - 1
GOU
50%
22%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 2
ADN
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |