An Andalis vs La Jara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
An Andalis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CDA
5 - 0
ANA
48%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ANA
1 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDD
1 - 3
ANA
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ANA
2 - 3
ANT
61%
19%
21%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ELR
2 - 0
ANA
44%
22%
35%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
La Jara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
LAJ
2 - 1
CAM
31%
23%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
6 - 1
LAJ
66%
19%
15%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CDA
3 - 2
LAJ
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LAJ
4 - 2
HER
32%
23%
45%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CDD
2 - 1
LAJ
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |