Amurrio vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Amurrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
RUN
1 - 1
AMU
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
AMU
1 - 2
LEM
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CFP
0 - 0
AMU
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
AMU
0 - 0
MIR
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
AMU
2 - 1
CUL
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SES
2 - 1
PON
27%
29%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
BUR
3 - 0
SES
58%
25%
17%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
SES
1 - 2
ZAM
25%
28%
47%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
HAR
1 - 0
SES
17%
25%
58%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
3 - 0
SES
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -2 |